Debating the Progress of Covid-19: Vibrant Viewpoints

                                

While the Email Discussions below have developed from Malik Magdon Ismail’s modelling of the likely chart for Sri Lanka, the items beyond ÖNE” have been responses to that article viz, https://thuppahis.com/2020/04/24/prediction-covid-19-in-sri-lanka-heading-for-peak-in-august/#more-41891….

Continue reading

2 Comments

Filed under accountability, biotechnology, charitable outreach, citizen journalism, coronavirus, cultural transmission, economic processes, education, landscape wondrous, life stories, politIcal discourse, self-reflexivity, slanted reportage, sri lankan society, the imaginary and the real, trauma, unusual people, welfare & philanthophy, world events & processes

Sri Lanka’s Problematic Covid Data

Chandre Dharmawardana, whose preferred choice of title is“Is complacency marring  Sri Lanka’s Covid-19 effort?  Fatality figures and the number of “confirmed cases”

Professor Pranna Cooray, in a  Q&A  session (Island, 20-04-2020)  draws attention to  Sri Lanka’s Covid-19 Case Fatality ratio (CFR). This is the ratio of the number of deaths to the number of confirmed cases.  He pointed out, using the  April 13th data for  the CFR figures for neighbouring countries, viz.,  Sri Lanka’s  3.2 percent (total cases – 218), India 3.4 percent (10,541), Pakistan 1.7 percent (5,716), Bangladesh 4.9 percent (803), “that  it is unacceptably high” given Sri Lanka’s reputed public health system.

Continue reading

2 Comments

Filed under accountability, charitable outreach, coronavirus, cultural transmission, governance, historical interpretation, landscape wondrous, life stories, politIcal discourse, security, self-reflexivity, sri lankan society, the imaginary and the real, transport and communications, unusual people, welfare & philanthophy, world events & processes

The Bell Tolls the ANZAC Way: Covid 19 Statistics for Australia

From the Melbourne Age

COVID-19 cases in Australia 6695

COVID-19 deaths in Australia 81

Continue reading

Leave a comment

Filed under accountability, Australian culture, australian media, coronavirus, cultural transmission, heritage, historical interpretation, landscape wondrous, life stories, self-reflexivity, unusual people, world events & processes

The Problem with Spatial Diffusion Models

Gerald H. Peiris

Models of Spatial Diffusion have been developed and used in Geography at least from the time of the Swedish geographer Hiegastrand (I hope I have got his name correct), and the kindly old professor of Geography at Trondheim, Prof. Karlsen Asbjorn (now retired) who hosted me for several meals at his home when I was on sabbatical in Norway way back in the last century. Asbjourn was considered an expert in the field of applying those models to the diffusion of infections. There are several such models.

Continue reading

1 Comment

Filed under accountability, coronavirus, disparagement, economic processes, heritage, landscape wondrous, life stories, politIcal discourse, population, self-reflexivity, sri lankan society, teaching profession, the imaginary and the real, unusual people, world events & processes, zealotry

Eureka! Agreement on Vaccine Process vs Covid-19

Global leaders unite to ensure everyone everywhere can access new vaccines, tests and treatments for COVID-19

…………….. 24  April Geneva  ……….Unprecedented gathering of heads of government, institutions and industry cements commitment to accelerate development and delivery for all populations

https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/24-04-2020-global-leaders-unite-to-ensure-everyone-everywhere-can-access-new-vaccines-tests-and-treatments-for-covid-19

Geneva =  Heads of state and global health leaders today made an unprecedented commitment to work together to accelerate the development and production of new vaccines, tests and treatments for COVID-19 and assure equitable access worldwide.

The COVID-19 pandemic has already affected more than 2.4 million people, killing over 160,000. It is taking a huge toll on families, societies, health systems and economies around the world, and for as long as this virus threatens any country, the entire world is at risk.

There is an urgent need, therefore, while following existing measures to keep people physically distanced and to test and track all contacts of people who test positive, for innovative COVID-19 vaccines, diagnostics and treatments.

“We will only halt COVID-19 through solidarity,” said Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director-General. “Countries, health partners, manufacturers, and the private sector must act together and ensure that the fruits of science and research can benefit everybody.”

Work has already started. Since January, WHO has been working with researchers from hundreds of institutions to develop and test vaccines, standardize assays and standardize regulatory approaches on innovative trial designs and define criteria to prioritize vaccine candidates.  The Organization has prequalified diagnostics that are being used all over the world, and more are in the pipeline. And it is coordinating a global trial to assess the safety and efficacy of four therapeutics against COVID-19.

The challenge is to speed up and harmonize processes to ensure that once products are deemed safe and effective, they can be brought to the billions of people in the world who need them. Past experience, in the early days of HIV treatment, for example, and in the deployment of vaccines against the H1N1 outbreak in 2009, shows that even when tools are available, they have not been equally available to all.

So today leaders came together at a virtual event, co-hosted by the World Health Organization, the President of France, the President of the European Commission, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The event was joined by the UN Secretary General, the AU Commission Chairperson, the G20 President, heads of state of France, South Africa, Germany, Vietnam, Costa Rica, Italy, Rwanda, Norway, Spain, Malaysia and the UK (represented by the First Secretary of State).

Health leaders from the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), GAVI-the Vaccine Alliance, the Global Fund, UNITAID, the Wellcome Trust, the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement (IFRC), the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers (IFPMA), the Developing Countries Vaccine Manufacturers’ Network (DCVMN), and the International Generic and Biosimilar Medicines Association (IGBA) committed to come together, guided by a common vision of a planet protected from human suffering and the devastating social and economic consequences of COVID-19, to launch this groundbreaking collaboration. They are joined by two Special Envoys:  Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Gavi Board Chair and Sir Andrew Witty, former CEO of GlaxoSmithKline.

They pledged to work towards equitable global access based on an unprecedented level of partnership. They agreed to create a strong unified voice, to build on past experience and to be accountable to the world, to communities and to one another.

“Our shared commitment is to ensure all people have access to all the tools to prevent, detect, treat and defeat COVID-19,” said Dr Tedros. “No country and no organization can do this alone. The Access to COVID-19 Tools Accelerator brings together the combined power of several organizations to work with speed and scale.”

Health leaders called on the global community and political leaders to support this landmark collaboration and for donors to provide the necessary resources to accelerate achievement of its objectives, capitalizing on the opportunity provided by a forthcoming pledging initiative that starts on 4 May 2020. This initiative, spearheaded by the European Union, aims to mobilize the significant resources needed to accelerate the work towards protecting the world from COVID-19.

Continue reading

2 Comments

Filed under accountability, coronavirus, life stories, self-reflexivity, the imaginary and the real, unusual people, world events & processes

Prediction: Covid 19 in Sri Lanka heading for Peak in August

M.V. Muhsin, in Daily.Ft, 20 April 2020 where the title runsSri Lanka’s corona quandary: To relax or not to relax?”

“Sri Lanka illustrates the classic Catch 22” with regard to COVID-19, says Professor Malik Magdon-Ismail, a Sri Lankan-born Computer Science Professor at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (Troy, NY) and an alumni of Caltech and Yale. He’s been in the news in New York media given his expertise in machine learning, data mining and pattern recognition.

Continue reading

3 Comments

Filed under accountability, coronavirus, legal issues, life stories, sri lankan society, trauma, travelogue, unusual people, welfare & philanthophy, world events & processes

France in 1940 …. Trump And Europe in 2020

Marc Bloch’s study of the French leadership’s gross failures in 1940 directs us to the bumbling incompetence of President Trump and some of the failures in leadership across Europe.

Continue reading

Leave a comment

Filed under accountability, art & allure bewitching, authoritarian regimes, cultural transmission, education, life stories, patriotism, politIcal discourse, power politics, self-reflexivity, teaching profession, the imaginary and the real, trauma, unusual people, world events & processes

The Horrific Terrors of 21/4: Three Pronouncements

ONE = Ellise Ann Allen: Sri Lanka: One year after the Easter attacks,” Daily News, 23 April 2020, http://www.dailynews.lk/2020/04/23/features/217020/sri-lanka-one-year-after-easter-attacks

On the one-year anniversary of a series of Easter Sunday bombings in Sri Lanka that killed nearly 300 people and injured 500 more, the nation mourned in silence, as the Government continues its investigation and families struggle to move forward.

To mark the anniversary of the April 21 attacks, the Sri Lankan government asked the entire nation to observe two minutes of silence at 8:45 a.m., the time the first bomb went off in St. Anthony’s Catholic Church in Colombo.

Continue reading

Leave a comment

Filed under accountability, atrocities, charitable outreach, conspiracies, education, governance, historical interpretation, human rights, Indian Ocean politics, Islamic fundamentalism, jihad, landscape wondrous, life stories, politIcal discourse, power politics, rehabilitation, religiosity, self-reflexivity, sri lankan society, terrorism, the imaginary and the real, tolerance, unusual people, welfare & philanthophy, world events & processes

Cardinal Malcolm Ranjith on 21/4: in June 2019 and 21/4/2020

Michael Roberts: On the anniversary of the 21/4 devastation last Tuesday Cardinal Malcolm presented an incisive commentary on the 21/4 jihadist attacks in Easter 2019 in lucid Sinhala. The speech  was as lucid and informative as statesmanlike. It was not a tale of fire and brimstone. Rather it was tinged with profound sadness and directed towards inter-religious cohabitation. But it also pinpointed horrible failures on the part of key personnel in the government of the day on the foundations of his personal chat with the Indian High Commissioner.

Readers are encouraged to seek out and dwell on You Tube versions of this talk. I present a BBC interview involving Cardinal Ranjith in June 2019 and some News Items as preliminary background. This BBC Chat is also a “Must Listen and Must Absorb “moment in the island’s history.

Continue reading

Leave a comment

Filed under accountability, atrocities, charitable outreach, communal relations, conspiracies, governance, heritage, historical interpretation, human rights, Indian Ocean politics, Islamic fundamentalism, life stories, meditations, Middle Eastern Politics, Muslims in Lanka, politIcal discourse, religiosity, security, self-reflexivity, sri lankan society, terrorism, the imaginary and the real, tolerance, trauma, unusual people, welfare & philanthophy, world events & processes

Signs of a Decline of Caste Distinctions among the Sinhalese?

M.W. Amarasiri de Silva, whose chosen title is as follows: “Do name changes to “acaste” names by the Sinhalese indicate a diminishing significance of caste?”

  Thoughts are free, according to the folk song: “no one can guess them. They fly past like shades of night.” The meaning of political, civil freedom is the exact opposite in every detail. Such reforms can neither be begged for froitizens. (Beck, 1997: 153, referring to Friedrich Schiller’s Don Carlos).

In modern Sri Lankan society, caste has become less significant as a marker of social identity and exclusion than was the case in the past. While acknowledging this trend across South Asian societies, the literature does not adequately explain why this is happening. Increasing urbanization, the growing number of inter-caste marriages, the expanding middle class, and the bulging youth population have all been suggested as contributory factors. Continue reading

Leave a comment

Filed under communal relations, cultural transmission, life stories, modernity & modernization, politIcal discourse, population, self-reflexivity, sri lankan society, tolerance, unusual people, world events & processes