Graphics

Maps and charts of the Iran War

Tehran

8:18 a.m.

Tel Aviv

7:48 a.m.

Washington D.C.

12:48 a.m.

The escalating U.S.–Israeli war with Iran and Tehran’s retaliation against Gulf neighbours have severely disrupted Middle Eastern energy infrastructure and global oil and gas flows. Israeli strikes on Iran’s South Pars gas field and the Asaluyeh processing hub on March 18 triggered a wave of retaliatory attacks across the Gulf that hit refineries, gas plants and export terminals in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.

Multiple key facilities have been damaged or shut. Drone and missile attacks struck refineries and LNG plants in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar, while missile debris forced the shutdown of the UAE’s massive Habshan gas complex and repeated attacks targeted its Fujairah export terminal.

Bahrain declared force majeure after its Sitra refinery was attacked, and Iraq sharply cut output from its southern oilfields despite avoiding direct strikes. Several export hubs were spared direct damage but saw operations halted due to security threats, intercepted missiles or precautionary shutdowns.

Iran’s military said strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure had led to “a new stage in the war”, in which it had attacked energy facilities linked to the United States.

“If strikes (on Iran’s energy facilities) happen again, further attacks on your energy infrastructure and that of your allies will not stop until it is completely destroyed,” Iranian military spokesman Ebrahim Zolfaqari said, according to ⁠state media.

QatarEnergy’s CEO told ​Reuters the Iranian attacks had knocked out a sixth of Qatar’s LNG export capacity, worth $20 billion a year, and that repairs ​would take three to five years. Israeli media reported that an Iranian strike hit oil facilities in Israel’s port of Haifa, causing damage but no casualties.

The strikes on regional energy facilities underscored Iran’s continued ability to exact a heavy price ​for the U.S.-Israeli campaign, and the limits of air defenses in protecting the Gulf’s most valuable and strategic energy assets.

The disruptions have sent energy prices surging worldwide. Middle East crude benchmarks hit record highs, U.S. diesel prices rose above $5 a gallon, and gasoline reached its highest level since late 2023. Asian refiners cut runs amid feedstock shortages, while governments from China to South Korea imposed export controls or price caps. The International Energy Agency called for a historic release of 400 million barrels from global reserves, underscoring the scale of the shock to energy markets and consumers.

The difficult task of refueling U.S. military fighter jets as they carry out strikes on Iran mostly rests on an aging fleet of Boeing KC-135 refueling aircrafts built in the 1950s and 1960s.

These aging tankers were in the spotlight after two collided mid-air over Iraq, killing all six crew, on Thursday, March 5. U.S. military said one crashed in Western Iraq, while the other tanker managed to land safely.

Inside a KC-135 refueling aircraft

Annotated cutaway diagram of a KC‑135 aerial refueling aircraft, shown from above and slightly behind. Yellow highlights mark fuel storage areas: wing reserve tanks, center wing tank, forward body tank (3,500 lb, used for ballast), multiple main tanks (600 lb each), an upper deck tank, and an aft body tank. The refueling boom extends from the tail. A callout notes total fuel: 200,000 lb.

Although the military ruled out hostile or friendly fire as causes of the crash, the Islamic Resistance ​in Iraq, an umbrella ⁠group of Iran-backed armed factions, claimed responsibility, in an ⁠incident that highlights the risk of refueling aircraft in the air.

The United States ​has sent a large number of aircraft to the Middle East for operations against Iran. ‌

Crowded skies

Flight activity in and out of Tel Aviv for the KC-135 refueling aircrafts

Map showing dense flight paths of KC‑135 refuelling aircraft around Tel Aviv and Ben Gurion Airport.

Delivery problems with a newer version, Boeing’s KC-46, meant to replace the aircraft in the fleet, have left the United States reliant mostly on the KC-135s.

Boeing and the Air Force have spent years trying to fix problems with the ​KC-46’s refueling boom and a visual monitoring system used by the boom operator to move it during refueling. Deliveries were temporarily paused last year after cracks were found in a handful of new tankers.

The difficult task of refueling at 230 miles an hour

Diagram showing early steps of midair refuelling: a fighter jet climbs to a planned rendezvous track, then flies behind and slightly below a KC‑135 tanker to hold formation.

Boom operators can transfer thousands of pounds of fuel to compatible aircraft while flying thousands of feet above ground, working just 47 feet (14 metres) from the receiving plane.

Diagram showing midair refuelling as a KC‑135 deploys its refuelling boom and guides it into alignment and contact with a fighter jet’s refuelling port.

The task of expertly aligning the boom with the receiving aircraft is down mostly to the boom operator, who sits at the rear of the aircraft, targeting a receptacle just slightly larger than a baseball.

Comparison showing a fighter jet’s refuelling port, about 7.65 cm wide, roughly the same size as a baseball.

The United States air force now has a fleet of 153, usually crewed by at least one pilot, a co-pilot and the boom operator. They can also be used for aeromedical evacuation missions.

Diagram showing fuel transfer as a KC‑135 tanker pumps fuel through the boom to a fighter jet flying steadily behind it.

How KC‑135R Stratotankers moved before and after the war began

Before the strikes began on February 28, most of the refueling aircraft flew within the United States or near Europe. Afterwards, recorded flight paths show more of them began flying transatlantic routes towards the Middle East.

Thursday, Feb. 26, 1 a.m. GMT

Iran’s security chief Ali Larijani was killed by Israel, the government confirmed on Tuesday, the most senior figure targeted since the U.S.-Israeli war’s first day, while a senior Iranian ​official said Iran’s new supreme leader rejected de-escalation offers conveyed by intermediary countries.

A diagram showing military leaders in Iran and those who have been killed during US and Israeli attacks.

Larijani was widely viewed as one of Iran’s most powerful figures and a confidant of slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his ‌son and successor, Mojtaba. The security chief had a reputation for pragmatic relations with other factions in the ruling system and foreign diplomats.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s son Mojtaba was chosen by Iran’s Assembly of Experts to succeed his late father as supreme leader, more than a week ‌after he was killed in an air strike, Iranian media reported.

Map showing Saudi Arabia’s East‑West pipeline and the UAE’s Habshan–Fujairah pipeline used to bypass the closed Strait of Hormuz, along with recent U.S./Israeli and Iranian attacks across the Gulf.

Iran continues to halt almost all shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint that carries about 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies. With Hormuz effectively blocked, Gulf exporters are shifting flows to pipelines that bypass the strait.

Shipments through these alternative routes have already started and are steadily ramping up, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing flows via its East-West pipeline to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, while the UAE is raising exports through the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline, which connects onshore fields to the port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman.

Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea pivot is now carrying meaningful volumes. According to the IEA’s March Oil Market Report, flows through the East-West pipeline have surged from an average of 1.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2025 to a record daily export of 5.9 mb/d from its western port of Yanbu on March 9 — with the pipeline expected to reach its full capacity of 7 mb/d within days.

Saudi Arabia weekly crude exports by terminal

Chart showing a steep drop in Saudi crude exports from Gulf terminals after Feb. 28 and a simultaneous surge in shipments from Red Sea ports.

The UAE is making a similar move. The IEA reports that flows through the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline, which connects onshore fields to the port of Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman, averaged 1.8 mb/d between March 1-10 — hitting the line’s reported maximum capacity, up from around 1 mb/d before the crisis.

Map showing Saudi Arabia’s and the UAE’s bypass export terminals and MarineTraffic data indicating vessels queueing outside Saudi Red Sea ports.

While Gulf nations struggle to find alternatives to Hormuz, Iran has continued to ship oil at a rate of 1.1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day, TankerTracker.com ​and Kpler data show.

On Friday, U.S. forces struck Kharg Island, the hub for about 90% of Iran’s oil exports and long viewed as one of Tehran’s most sensitive vulnerabilities. U.S. forces “totally obliterated every military target” there, President Donald Trump said on social media, warning that Iran’s oil infrastructure could also be hit if it continues to interfere with shipping in the strait.

Markets were watching for any sign that the strikes had damaged Kharg’s intricate network of ⁠pipelines, terminals and storage tanks. Even minor disruptions could further tighten global supply, adding pressure to an already volatile market.

Map showing United States strikes on Kharg Island, the hub for about 90% of Iran’s oil exports and long considered one of Tehran’s most vulnerable strategic sites.

A map of Iranian strikes against civilian ships, including tankers, container ships and other bulk carriers.

The U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has threatened Gulf ports and disrupted global trade through the Strait of Hormuz through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have warned that any ship ​passing through the narrow Strait will be targeted.

Since the U.S.-Israeli campaign began, at least 22 civilian ships — tankers, container ships and other bulk carriers — have been attacked, according to data from the Institute for the Study of War and AEI Critical Threats project (ISW/AEI).

A foreign tanker carrying Iraqi fuel oil damaged after catching fire in Iraq's territorial waters, following unidentified attacks that targeted two foreign tankers, according to Iraqi port officials, near Basra, Iraq, March 12, 2026. REUTERS/Mohammed Aty

A ship is illuminated by fire from a burning vessel, after Iranian explosive-laden boats appear to have attacked two fuel tankers in Iraqi waters setting them ablaze, according to port, maritime security and risk firms, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in this screengrab taken from a handout video released March 12, 2026. Media Office of Iraqi Ports/Handout

Smoke billows from an oil tanker under U.S. sanctions, that was hit off Oman's Musandam peninsula, in this screen grab from a video obtained by REUTERS on March 1, 2026.

In his first remarks as Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba ‌Khamenei said on Thursday Iran will will ​avenge the blood of its martyrs and keep the Strait of Hormuz closed.

Naval drones have been used in at least two attacks on oil ​tankers in the Gulf region since war erupted, according to maritime authorities and analysts, demonstrating ‌a dangerous new threat in the key shipping lane.

Two tankers were ablaze in an Iraqi port on Thursday, a step-up in attacks that have defied U.S. President ⁠Donald Trump’s claim to have won the war he launched two weeks ago.

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Here are the ships that have been attacked according to ISW/AEI data:

March 12
Zefyros
(Oil Products Tanker)
March 12
Safesea Vishnu
(Oil Products Tanker)
March 11
Mayuree Naree
(Bulk Carrier)
March 11
One Majesty
(Container Ship)
March 11
Star Gwyneth
(Bulk Carrier)
March 11
Express Rome
(Container Ship)
March 11
Unspecified
(Unknown)
March 11
Source Blessing
(Container Ship)
March 7
Louise P
(Oil Products Tanker)
March 6
Mussafah 2
(Tanker)
March 5
Unspecified
(Crude Oil Tanker)
March 4
Safeen Prestige
(Container Ship)
March 4
MSC Grace
(Container Ship)
March 4
Unspecified
(Tanker)
March 3
Gold Oak
(Bulk Carrier)
March 3
Libra Trader
(Crude Oil Tanker )
March 3
Unspecified
(Unknown)
March 2
Athe Nova
(Asphalt/Bitumen Tanker)
March 2
Stena Imperative
(Oil Products Tanker)
March 1
Hercules Star
(Oil Products Tanker)
March 1
Unspecified
(reported as Tanker)
March 1
MKD Vyom
(Crude Oil Tanker)

The Middle East accounted for around 21% of global arms imports in 2025, according to newly released data on arms trade released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). Barring 2024, the region has consistently imported over a fifth of world’s arms over the last 10 years. Since the Russia-Ukraine war, European arms imports jumped sharply, and in 2025 the region accounted for 42% of the global arms imports.

Share of global arms imports by region

Multiple line charts showing the share of global arms imports by region between 2010 and 2025. The three regions that imported the most arms in 2025 were Europe, Asia and Oceania, and the Middle East.

The United States was the biggest exporter of arms to the Middle East between 2021 and 2025, supplying 54% of imports. The next largest were Italy at 12% and France at 11%. The U.S. was the biggest arms supplier for several countries in the region, including Saudi Arabia, Israel, and Qatar.

The UAE bought over 13,000 missiles from the U.S. in the last ten years while Saudi Arabia got 89 aircraft, over 150 armoured vehicles and around 1,800 missiles.

All of Iran’s imported arms came from Russia, based on data recorded by SIPRI. In the last 10 years, Iran has imported missiles, aircraft and air-defence systems all from Russia.

Nearly 73% of Iran’s arms exports went to Russia.

Share of arms imports to Middle Eastern countries, 2021-2025

A stacked bar chart showing arms imports by Middle Eastern countries in the last five years by supplier. The United States was a major supplier for many nations, while Russia was the biggest supplier for Iran and Syria.

● anti-US intervention
● pro-US intervention
● pro-Iran
● anti-Iran
246 demonstrations

Protests and public demonstrations have rippled around the world following the largest U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran in decades, data from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) shows.

ACLED’s data covers demonstrations between February 28 and March 6 and records more than 990 worldwide, both for and against Iran’s government and for and against the U.S. and Israeli bombing campaign against Tehran.

The largest number of demonstrations were recorded in the Middle East, where of 325 total protests, 35 were classified as violent demonstrations.

At least 23 protesters were killed in clashes in Pakistan on March 1, including 10 in the port of Karachi where security guards at the U.S. consulate fired on demonstrators who breached the outer wall, 11 in the northern city of Skardu where the crowd torched a U.N. office, and two in Islamabad.

In Iraq, police fired tear gas and stun grenades to scatter hundreds of pro-Iranian protesters who had gathered outside the Green Zone diplomatic compound in the capital Baghdad, where the U.S. embassy is located.

● anti-US intervention
● pro-US intervention
● pro-Iran
● anti-Iran
IsraelIsraelEgyptEgyptYemenYemenTurkeyTurkeyIraqIraqIranIranPakistanPakistan246 demonstrations

In European countries with large populations of Iranian exiles, many came out to celebrate in the days after the U.S. and Israeli campaign began.

In Paris, a joyous crowd of thousands turned out to celebrate, waving flags of Iran’s pre-revolutionary monarchy, some carrying red roses and bottles of champagne. Some held aloft portraits of loved ones killed under decades of Iran’s clerical rule. Others waved flags of Israel, the United States and France.

In Lisbon, exiled Iranians gathered outside the Iranian embassy.

In Britain, police said they had banned a pro-Iranian march due to take place in London on Sunday, citing the possibility of “extreme tensions” with ​counter-protesters and the risk posed by Tehran during the conflict in the ‌Middle East.

The threshold to ban a protest ​is high in Britain, with the police saying this was the first ​time the power had been invoked in 14 years, but the ⁠risks of public disorder were “so severe” it was right to block it. The ban ​also applies to any counter-protest marches.

● anti-US intervention
● pro-US intervention
● pro-Iran
● anti-Iran
ItalyItalyGermanyGermanyFranceFranceUKUKSpainSpainMoroccoMoroccoTunisiaTunisia246 demonstrations

In the United States, there have been 145 demonstrations in cities across the country including Los Angeles, New York, Washington D.C., Dallas, Philadelphia and Las Vegas.

The majority have been protests against the Trump administration’s U.S.-led campaign, according to the data.

● anti-US intervention
● pro-US intervention
● pro-Iran
● anti-Iran
U.S.U.S.CanadaCanadaMexicoMexicoColombiaColombia246 demonstrations
Women carry placards during a protest outside the U.S. embassy in Jakarta, Indonesia, March 9, 2026.
A demonstrator attends a protest against the Iranian government held by supporters of the Iranian royal family in exile, who marched through central London past the Iranian embassy to the Israeli embassy, in London, Britain, March 8, 2026.
People march during a protest against U.S. and Israel strikes against Iran in New York City, U.S., March 7, 2026.
A demonstrator holds an Iranian flag while others burn an effigy during a protest outside the U.S. Embassy following the killing of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in U.S. and Israeli strikes, in Mexico City, Mexico, March 7, 2026.

Women carry placards during a protest outside the U.S. embassy in Jakarta, Indonesia, March 9, 2026. REUTERS/Ajeng Dinar Ulfiana

A demonstrator attends a protest against the Iranian government held by supporters of the Iranian royal family in exile, who marched through central London past the Iranian embassy to the Israeli embassy, in London, Britain, March 8, 2026. REUTERS/Yann Tessier

People march during a protest against U.S. and Israel strikes against Iran in New York City, U.S., March 7, 2026. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

A demonstrator holds an Iranian flag while others burn an effigy during a protest outside the U.S. Embassy following the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in U.S. and Israeli strikes, in Mexico City, Mexico, March 7, 2026. REUTERS/Luis Cortes

Oil depots and refineries around Tehran spewed thick plumes of black smoke after Israel said it hit fuel depots and refineries in Iran overnight on March 7.

Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said the large-scale attack marked a “dangerous new phase” of the conflict and amounted to a war crime.

“By targeting fuel depots, the aggressors are releasing hazardous materials and toxic substances into the air, poisoning civilians, devastating the environment, and endangering lives on a massive scale,” he wrote on X.

Israeli military spokesman Lieutenant Colonel Nadav Shoshani told reporters the depots were used to fuel Iran’s war effort, including producing or storing propellant for ballistic missiles. “They are a legal military target,” he said.

Map of Tehran showing locations of recent attacks documented by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Several strike markers appear across the city, with highlighted icons indicating direct hits on major oil and fuel storage facilities.

The thick smoke, laden with harmful chemicals including hydrocarbons and sulfur and nitrogen dioxides, enveloped large parts of Tehran, which has a population over 9 million people, though an unknown number have fled the city since U.S. and Israeli strikes began.

Iranian authorities warned residents to stay indoors as much as possible and advised children, the elderly, heart and lung patients and pregnant women to avoid going outside altogether.

Pakistan’s meteorological department also warned winds may carry pollutants over the border into western parts of the country.

Graphic showing three steps: Israeli airstrikes ignite oil facilities in Tehran; thick toxic smoke rises from the explosions; atmospheric reactions form acid rain falling over the city.

Mixed with water in the atmosphere, pollutants from oil fires can become acidic and rain back down to earth.

These toxic particles can cause respiratory irritation — especially for those with asthma or bronchitis — chemical burns to the skin or more serious damage to the lungs.

Graphic showing health effects of toxic smoke and acid rain exposure, including chemical skin burns and severe lung damage, as warned by the Iranian Red Crescent.

Global markets are closing out a tumultuous week after the conflict in Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the world’s oil passes, and sent crude prices spiking.

Asian markets have been hit especially hard. The Korean index, KOSPI, fell nearly 20% from before the conflict started until Wednesday, and recorded the biggest drop in its history of 12% on March 4. It has since rebounded, but remains down 11% overall from last week, before the U.S. attack. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index also closed down 6% from last week.

Japan and South Korea rank among the top five importers of global oil and are most reliant on Middle Eastern crude, which accounts ⁠for about 95% and 70% of their imports, respectively. Markets in India declined by nearly 3% as the third-largest importer of global oil received a 30-day waiver from U.S. to import Russian oil amid the Iran war.

Map showing Israeli airstrikes across Lebanon and areas designated by the Israeli military for evacuation.

Israeli airstrikes pounded the southern suburbs of Beirut overnight and on Friday, smashing up city streets in an escalating conflict ​with Iran-backed Hezbollah that has sent many tens of thousands of Lebanese from their homes.

Israel ordered everyone in the densely-populated suburbs, a Hezbollah stronghold, to leave before launching strikes that lit ‌up the night sky. It earlier warned civilians to quit swathes of southern and eastern Lebanon.

They were the widest evacuation orders ever given by Israel against Lebanon and prompted a huge exodus of people before bombardments that turned buildings into rubble and took the facades off apartment blocks.

Israel’s military spokesperson posts evacuation orders on social media platform X. On Wednesday, the spokesperson ordered residents to leave a swathe of southern Lebanon amounting to nearly 8% of Lebanese territory. On Thursday, the spokesperson issued evacuation orders for Beirut’s southern suburbs with a roughly drawn map that included multiple suburbs and other towns, as well as written instructions that only mentioned some of those areas. Asked to clarify which areas in particular should evacuate, an IDF spokesperson told Reuters the map was “amorphic” and that the text was “what matters.”

Map showing Israeli airstrikes across Beirut and areas designated by the Israeli military for evacuation.

An Israeli military official said several waves of strikes were launched against Hezbollah in the southern Beirut suburbs, striking about 115 targets including in residential buildings that the official said the group used as headquarters.

Israeli airstrikes have also targeted Tripoli in the north of Lebanon, Tyre, Sidon and Nabatieh in the south, and Baalbek in the east, the official said. ​Israeli military video showed what it said were strikes on command centres and weapons facilities in Lebanon. Reuters could not independently confirm that the buildings Israel hit did contain command centres or weapons facilities.

Meanwhile, many Lebanese evacuees were left without shelter after fleeing their homes.

“We’re sleeping here in the streets - some in cars, some on the street, some on the beach,” said Jamal Seifeddin, 43, who spent the night outside in the capital’s downtown district.

“I’ve never ​slept on the ground like this. I’ve been forced to. No one even brought a blanket,” he said.

Smoke billows after reported strikes on Beirut's southern suburbs, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon, March 6, 2026.
People displaced from the southern suburbs of Beirut after the Israeli army's warning prompted residents to evacuate rest at Martyrs' Square in Beirut, Lebanon, March 6, 2026.
Vehicles stuck in traffic after Israel's military issued evacuation orders of entire neighbourhoods in Beirut's southern suburb, March 5, 2026.

Smoke billows after reported strikes on Beirut’s southern suburbs, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon, March 6, 2026. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

People displaced from the southern suburbs of Beirut after the Israeli army’s warning prompted residents to evacuate rest at Martyrs’ Square in Beirut, Lebanon, March 6, 2026. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Vehicles stuck in traffic after Israel’s military issued evacuation orders of entire neighbourhoods in Beirut’s southern suburb, March 5, 2026. REUTERS/Claudia Greco

On Friday, the U.N. human rights chief, Volker Turk, said Israel’s evacuation orders raise serious concerns ​under international law.

“These blanket, ‌massive displacement orders we are talking here about hundreds and thousands of people,” he said. “This raises serious concern under international humanitarian law, ​and in particular when it comes to issues around forced transfer.”

A map showing countries that have been attacked by Iran.

U.S. and Israeli attacks in Iran have prompted retaliatory strikes around the Gulf as the conflict spread across the region, rattled global markets and sent oil prices sharply higher.

Countries that have been attacked by Iran

A table showing countries that have and have not been attacked by Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters that the U.S. military had struck ​numerous Iranian naval and air targets, saying that “just about everything has been knocked out.”

A source familiar with Israel’s war plan told Reuters that the campaign had been planned to last two weeks and was going through its target list faster than expected, with early success in ​killing Iran’s leaders — including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the opening salvoes on Saturday.

Trump on Monday said initial U.S. projections were for the operation to last four to five weeks. When asked who he would like to be in charge in Iran, ​Trump on Tuesday gave a blunt assessment: “Most of the people we had in mind are dead.”

Countries that have attacked Iran

A table showing countries that have and have not attacked Iran

After years of tentative détente, Gulf Arab states had begun recalibrating ties with Iran, acknowledging geography and mutual interest. That fragile trust has now been ruptured. The scale of Iran’s attacks — striking civilian targets in six U.S.-aligned states — has erased the political space Gulf leaders had ⁠carved out ​for dialogue.

Having been attacked directly, Gulf capitals now confront a harder question: even if the fighting stops, ​can trust in Iran as a neighbour ever be rebuilt — or has the relationship entered a long, hostile freeze? The Gulf’s economic model, energy security and regional diplomacy — long treated as constants — have all been destabilised. ​Even if the fighting stops soon, the era of hedging with Iran may be over, and a more guarded, security-driven Gulf lies ahead.

Iranian Kurdish militias have held talks with the United States about whether they could launch attacks on Iran’s security forces in the country’s west.

The groups, positioned along the Iran–Iraq border, have been training for such an operation with the aim of weakening Iran’s military as U.S. and Israeli strikes hit Iranian targets.

A map of Kurdish population in the Middle East and a graphic showing the percentage of the Kurdish population of the total population in Iran, Syria, Iraq and Turkey

Kurds form one of the largest stateless populations in the world, estimated between 30 and 40 million, spread across a region that includes parts of Iran, Syria, Iraq and Turkey. In all four countries, underground Kurdish political movements, often on the political left, have struggled for autonomy for generations, sometimes violently.

In Iran, Kurds make up as much as 17% of the population, according to estimates from the Kurdish Institute of Paris, giving them a substantial presence across the country’s northwest.

The Kurdish factions have requested U.S. support, including possible CIA assistance to obtain weapons, though Washington has not made any final decision and declined to comment. Any cross‑border move would likely require significant American backing, and experts note the groups vary in battlefield experience.

Friday, Feb. 27, 12 a.m. GMT

Iran

Qatar

UAE

Saudi

Arabia

Oman

Afghanistan

Note: Tanker traffic paths are estimated by shortest distance between recorded transponder positions, so some may be shown to cross land boundaries between positions. Positions may also include some that are “spoofed” or faked.

Source: MarineTraffic

The animated map above, based on ship-tracking data from the MarineTraffic platform, shows how tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz came to a near standstill after the U.S. and Israel launched air attacks on Iran on Saturday, February 28.

The strait is a key artery for around a fifth of the world’s oil and LNG supply, and shipping data shows hundreds of ​vessels remain outside Hormuz unable to reach ports.

At least 200 ships, including oil and liquefied natural gas tankers as well as cargo ships, remained at anchor in open waters off the coast of major Gulf producers including Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, according to Reuters estimates based on MarineTraffic data.

At least ​eight vessels have been hit in the area since the Iran conflict began.

Commercial satellite imagery has shown extensive damage to key Iranian government and military sites after the United States and Israel launched their most ambitious campaign against Iran in decades.

A compilation of satellite images arranged in four rows, each showing two dates for the same locations marked with yellow boxes. Rows correspond to areas labeled: “Khamenei residence and presidential complex,” “Judiciary complex,” “Headquarters of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC),” and “National Defense University.” Images show building layouts, roads, trees, and surrounding structures.

Imagery has also captured ​the first known strikes on an Iranian nuclear site since the start of the U.S.-Israeli air operation.

The Institute for Science and International Security said imagery produced by Colorado-based Vantor showed two strikes on access points to the underground uranium enrichment plant at Natanz, which was hit by the U.S. last June.

The Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP) at Natanz is a vast underground facility designed to house 50,000 centrifuges, the machines that enrich uranium.

A 3D terrain-style satellite graphic of a mountainous area shows labeled tunnel entrances and the location of an underground nuclear facility. A mountain peak marked 1,608 m rises above the site. A note states that centrifuge halls could lie 78–145 m underground. An inset map in the top right shows the facility’s position within a larger complex. A small map of Iran marks Natanz.

A satellite image of an industrial‑style compound shows multiple annotated damage sites. Boxes mark structures labeled as damaged in June 2025, a building rebuilt after 2025 damage, and an area labeled “Recent damage in March 2026.” Insets on the left and right show close‑up views of collapsed roofs and debris. Lines connect the inset images to their corresponding locations.

Iran’s nuclear programme is among the reasons Israel and the U.S. have given for the attacks, alleging Iran was getting too close ​to being able to eventually make a nuclear bomb. Iran has repeatedly denied seeking a nuclear arsenal.

Iranian nuclear facilities

A shaded map of Iran marks locations of nuclear‑related facilities with small square or circular icons. Labels identify sites such as research centers, enrichment plants, production plants, mines, and complexes. A red symbol highlights “Natanz Enrichment Complex” near the center.

Global air travel remained heavily disrupted as war in Iran kept major Middle Eastern airports closed or severely restricted in one of the sharpest aviation shocks in recent years. Key transit airports, including Dubai and Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates and Doha in Qatar, were impacted as much of the region’s airspace remained closed after U.S. and Israeli strikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The ripple effects were felt far beyond the Middle East, with tens of thousands of passengers stranded as far away as Bali, Kathmandu and Frankfurt. Thousands of flights have been affected across the Middle East, according to data on flight‑tracking platform FlightAware, and airspace over Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Israel, Bahrain, the UAE and Qatar remained virtually empty, maps by Flightradar24 showed.

Feb. 27, 1820 GMT

Flights traverse the Middle East in patterns crisscrossing Iraq, Iran, Syria and Israel about 12 hours before the first strike in Iran.

Feb. 28, 1805 GMT

12 hours after the strikes and amidst continued conflict, the space over a large swath of the Middle East is devoid of commercial air traffic.

Carriers that offer non-stop Asia-Europe flights are able to bypass the closed ​Middle Eastern airspace by flying north via the Caucasus then Afghanistan or south via Egypt then Saudi then Oman.But it may add to flight times and fuel usage, ​driving up costs at a time when oil prices have spiked, in a move that could lead to higher fares over the longer term.

“Right now the whole of the Middle East is out of bounds, which is a high price for some airlines,” said Subhas Menon, head of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines.

A map showing partially, intermittently or completely closed airspaces around Iran and diverted flight corridors.

Dubai International Airport sustained damage during Iran’s attacks, while Emirates, the world’s largest international carrier, said it had suspended all operations to and from its Dubai mega-hub. On March 2 at 1400 GMT, a Dubai Airports spokesperson said a small number of flights were permitted to operate but advised travellers to not visit either of Dubai’s airports unless directly contacted by their airlines.

The flight-tracking service said that a new pilot bulletin had extended the closure of Iranian airspace until at least 0830 GMT on March 3, though regional airline sources said there was no certainty on how long the conflict-related turmoil would continue.

Dubai accounts for half of cancelled flights following strikes on Iran

Over 6,000 flights have been cancelled in seven Middle East countries that closed their airspace since the initial Feb. 28 U.S. and Israeli strike on Iran. Dubai International Airport, the world’s ​busiest international hub, made up over 3,000 of those cancellations.

Bar chart of flight cancellations in the Middle East from Feb. 25–March 2. Cancellations jump Feb. 28–March 2, reaching 1,519, 2,460 and 2,187. Bars show Dubai International Airport versus other airports, with Dubai making up about half.

A bar chart showing the number of U.S. survey respondents that approved and disapproved of President Trump’s attack on Iran.

Only 27% of respondents said they approved of the strikes, which were conducted alongside Israeli attacks on Iran, while 43% disapproved and 29% were not sure. 

Sentiment varied across party lines with 55% of respondents registered as Republicans saying they approved of the strikes, while only 7% of Democrats did. Only 19% of independents also signaled approval.

The poll, which closed on Sunday, also showed that 56% of Americans think Trump, who has also ordered strikes ​in Venezuela, Syria and Nigeria in recent months, is too willing to use military force to advance U.S. interests. ⁠The vast majority of Democrats - 87% - held this view, as did 23% of Republicans and 60% of people who don’t identify with either political party.

The attack has killed four U.S. service members and prompted retaliatory missile and drone strikes by Iran on Israel and other Gulf nations.

A majority of U.S. adults believe Trump used ‘too much’ military force on Iran

What do Americans think of Trump’s use of military force?

A bar chart showing the results of a survey asking U.S. adults what they think of Trump’s use of military force on attacking Iran.

A map showing the Strait of Hormuz and the Exclusive Economic Zones in the The Gulf.

The steady flow of Gulf oil shipments to Europe, the United States and Asia through the narrow shipping lanes of the Strait of Hormuz has created the world’s largest oil transit chokepoint.

After the United States and Israel launched the most ambitious attack on Iran in decades, Tehran’s ability to disrupt transit in the strait has rattled markets and choked trade.

Already, oil prices have risen sharply and analysts expect them to remain elevated over the coming days while markets focus on the impact of escalating Middle East conflict on supplies through the strait.

A line chart showing Brent and U.S. crude oil prices from January 1, 2026, to March 2, 2026, which saw sharp rises in both crude oil prices since the U.S. and Israel began attacks on Iran on February 28.

More than 20 million barrels of crude, condensate and fuels passed through the strait daily last year on average, data from analytics firm Vortexa showed.

OPEC members Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia.

Qatar, among the world’s biggest liquefied natural gas exporters, sends almost all of its LNG through the strait.

A stacked bar chart showing the percentage of total oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz in the world maritime oil trade, between 2020 and 2024 (annually) and 2025 (first quarter), fluctuating between 27% and 29%.

Shipping through the strait between Iran and Oman, which carries around one-fifth of oil consumed globally as well as large quantities of gas, has ground to a near halt after vessels in the area were hit as Iran retaliated to U.S. and Israeli strikes.

Several tanker owners, oil majors and trading houses have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas shipments via the Strait of Hormuz after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, trading sources said on Saturday.

“Our ships will stay put for several days,” one top executive at a major trading desk said. Satellite images from tanker trackers showed vessels backed up next to big ports, such as Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates, and not moving through Hormuz.

Iran’s ability to disrupt the strait

Iran has said it closed navigation through the critical waterway, and shipping has ground to a near halt after vessels in the area were hit as Iran retaliated to U.S. and Israeli strikes.

The U.S.-flagged products tanker Stena Imperative was damaged by “aerial impacts” while berthed in the Middle East Gulf, the vessel’s owner Stena Bulk and its U.S. manager Crowley said in a statement, and a shipyard worker was killed as a consequence of the impact.

On Sunday, a projectile hit the Marshall Islands-flagged product tanker MKD VYOM, killing a crew member as the vessel sailed off the coast of Oman, its manager said on Sunday, and two other tankers were also damaged.

Also on Sunday, a projectile hit the Gibraltar-flagged oil bunkering tanker Hercules Star off the UAE coast, manager Peninsula said in a statement. The tanker returned to anchorage in Dubai on Sunday morning and the crew were safe, Peninsula added.

In addition to direct attacks on ships via missiles and drones, Tehran may also deploy mines in the strait.

U.S. intelligence estimates Iran has stockpiled as many as 6,000 mines, including drifting, limpet, bottom and moored mines.

“Floating and naval mines pose a severe asymmetric threat in these confined waters, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz’s narrow transit lanes, where shallow depths and Iran’s coastal positioning enable swift, potentially deniable deployment from fast attack craft, submarines, or other platforms,” said Scarlett Suarez, senior intelligence analyst with UK based maritime risk intelligence and cybersecurity specialists Dryad Global.

“Although no large-scale mining or confirmed mine detections have been reported amid the ongoing crisis, persistent threats and the potential for partial or targeted use remain credible.”

Moored mine

Moored mines are attached to the sea floor or a weight and are often arrayed in mine fields. They explode when they come in contact with passing ships.

An illustration of a moored mine.
Drifting mine

Drifting mines float on the surface of the water and are harder to counter because they do not stay in fixed positions within mine fields.

An illustration of a drifting mine.
Limpet mine

Limpet mines are attached directly to the hull of a ship via magnets and are often detonated by a timed fuse.

An illustration of a limpet mine.
Bottom mine

Bottom mines sit on the seafloor in shallow water and explode when they detect a ship overhead. They are harder to detect and sweep than moored mines.

An illustration of a bottom mine.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed on Saturday, Iranian officials confirmed, after the United States and Israel launched the most ambitious attack on Iranian targets in decades.

Israel also said the attacks killed several key figures in Iran’s military leadership.

Israeli military operations over the past two years had already killed some of Iran’s senior military officials and severely weakened several of Tehran’s once-feared proxy forces across the Middle East.

A diagram showing military leaders in Iran and those who have been killed during US and Israeli attacks.

On Sunday, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said a leadership council composed of himself, the judiciary head and a member of the powerful Guardian Council had temporarily assumed the duties of Supreme Leader.

Security chief Ali Larijani accused the United States and Israel of trying to plunder and disintegrate Iran and warned “secessionist groups” of a harsh response if they attempted any action, state television said on Sunday, after the two countries launched a wave of air attacks on Iran that included the bombing of a girls’ primary school. Reuters could not independently confirm the reports from the state media.

Iran’s power structure

A diagram showing the structure of Iranian government.

Following the killing of Khamenei on Saturday, many senior U.S. officials remain skeptical that the U.S. and Israeli military operation against the Islamic Republic will lead to a regime change in the near term.

The U.S. intelligence discussions about the implications of a possible Khamenei killing have not been limited to whether it might lead to a change in government leadership.

Two of the U.S. officials said that, since January, there has been significant debate - but no consensus - among officials of various agencies about the extent to which Khamenei’s killing would lead to a significant shift in the way Iran approached negotiations with the U.S. regarding its nuclear program.

U.S. officials have also debated the extent to which Khamenei’s death or ouster would deter the country from rebuilding its missile or nuclear facilities and capacities, said those officials, who requested anonymity to discuss sensitive internal conversations.

A map of US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian retaliatory strikes.

The United States and Israel launched their most ambitious attacks on Iran in decades on Saturday in an operation that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The biggest foreign-policy gamble of U.S. President Donald Trump’s presidency comes after he campaigned for reelection as a “peace president” and after saying he preferred a diplomatic solution to the standoff with Iran.

The United States unleashed an array of weaponry against Iranian targets on Saturday, including Tomahawk cruise missiles, stealth fighters, and for the first time in combat, low-cost one-way attack drones modelled after Iranian designs.

Iran has called the strikes unprovoked and illegal and responded with missiles fired at Israel and at least seven other countries, including Gulf states that host U.S. bases.

Edited by

Ella Koeze, Jon McClure, Rebecca Pazos, Julia Wolfe